Every FPL manager knows the feeling. The star player you transferred in, the one who scored a hat-trick last week, delivers a gut-wrenching blank. You call him a troll, a fraud, and you curse your luck.

But what if it isn’t luck? What if that frustrating inconsistency is the very DNA of an elite FPL asset?

For the first time, we’ve run the numbers. We put the complete, purified dataset from the 2024/25 Premier League season under the microscope, tasking our models with a single mission: to quantify the character of every attacker in the league. The result is our Consistency Score, a proprietary metric that measures not a player’s quality, but their reliability.

The findings expose the great, beautiful paradox of FPL.

The Great Paradox: Why Your Best Players Are Your Biggest Trolls

Before we reveal the lists, you must understand the core finding. Our analysis proved that the most explosive, week-winning assets are, by their very nature, the most volatile and statistically inconsistent.

Think of it as the difference between a steady drumbeat and a chaotic fireworks display. A defensive midfielder might reliably score 2-3 points every single week. His scores have a tiny deviation from his average, making him statistically very consistent. An elite forward, however, might score 2, 2, 24, and 5. The wild swings between a quiet blank and a supernova haul create massive statistical variance.

Our Consistency Score captures this. It doesn’t measure good vs. bad; it measures predictable vs. unpredictable.

The Evidence: The 24/25 Reward vs. Character Blueprint

This chart visualizes the entire attacking player pool from the 24/25 season. It plots a player’s raw scoring power against their statistical character.

• The Cornerstones (Top-Right): The holy grail. High reward and high reliability. As you can see, this is an exclusive club, with Mohamed Salah as its undisputed king. He is a statistical freak, capable of explosive hauls with remarkable consistency.
• The Mavericks (Top-Left): High reward, low reliability. This is where the legends live. Haaland, Isak, Watkins, Bowen. These are the nuclear weapons of FPL. Their position on the left signifies that their explosive returns come at the price of week-to-week volatility. They will win you your season, but they will break your heart along the way.
• The Enablers (Bottom-Right): Low reward, high reliability. These are your steady, predictable budget assets who reliably deliver their low expected score.
• The Deadwood (Bottom-Left): Low reward and low reliability. This is the quadrant of players to avoid at all costs. As you can see, premium assets like Saka and Foden, despite their quality, fell into this quadrant based on their 24/25 data due to streaky returns, making them feel like “Mavericks” in disguise.

The Intelligence: The Official 24/25 Lists

Now, the raw data. This is the evidence that powers the chart.

The Official Troll List (24/25 Season)
This is not a list of bad players. It is a list of the 15 most statistically unpredictable attackers from the 24/25 season. It is filled with explosive, high-ceiling assets whose returns are the most difficult to forecast.

The Kings of Consistency (24/25 Season)
This is the list of the 15 most reliable attackers from last season—the players whose scores adhered most closely to their average week after week.

The Final Word: How to Use This Intelligence

This data provides a new lens through which to view squad construction.

1. Balance Your Portfolio: You need the volatile “Mavericks” to win your league. But you must balance them with the high-floor reliability of the “Cornerstones.” A team full of Mavericks is a recipe for a heart-attack season.
2. Inform Your Captaincy: In a week where you need a safe, reliable score to protect your rank, a Cornerstone like Salah is the intelligent choice. When you’re chasing and need to roll the dice on a 20-point explosion, a Maverick like Haaland is your weapon.

We haven’t just made a list; we’ve exposed the fundamental truth of FPL. The players who win you your season are the very same ones who will break your heart on any given weekend. Now, you have the data to understand why.