The most common mistake in FPL is evaluating players on a single metric. A simple “expected points” score is incomplete because it hides a player’s fundamental character. To make elite decisions, you must analyse two distinct dimensions: a player’s scoring power and their predictability.

Our Player Quadrant is a proprietary tool designed to do exactly that. It visualizes the entire player pool, allowing you to move beyond simple scores and understand the strategic profile of any asset.

As the chart shows, every player is plotted based on two key metrics:

  • Raw Scoring Power (Y-Axis): This is our Potential Points metric, predicting a player’s output if they play significant minutes. The higher up the chart, the more powerful the asset.
  • Chaos vs. Consistency (X-Axis): This is our Volatility Score. The further to the right, the more chaotic and unpredictable a player’s returns are. Players to the left are more consistent and reliable.

The dashed lines represent the median for the player pool. This gives us four distinct archetypes, each with a specific role to play in a winning squad.

The Punishers (Top-Right: High Power, High Chaos)

  • Profile: Located in the top-right, these are players with elite Potential Points and a high Volatility Score. As you can see, this quadrant is home to the most explosive assets in the game, like Haaland and Salah.
  • Strategic Insight: These are your week-winners and primary captaincy candidates. Their high volatility means they have a wider range of outcomes, but their ceiling is stratospheric. Players like Richarlison and Semenyo also fit this high-risk, high-reward profile. A squad must be built around a core of these assets to compete for the top ranks.

The Stalwarts (Top-Left: High Power, High Consistency)

  • Profile: Found in the top-left, these players combine high Potential Points with a low Volatility Score. They are statistically more predictable than Punishers.
  • Strategic Insight: Stalwarts are the bedrock of a dominant team. They provide a reliable stream of points with a high floor. Notice players like Calafiori, Wood, and Ekitike in this quadrant—assets who are projected to deliver strong, consistent returns. They are foundational players and excellent captaincy choices in chaotic weeks where a guaranteed return is paramount.

The Grinders (Bottom-Left: Low Power, High Consistency)

  • Profile: Occupying the bottom-left, these players have lower Potential Points but are highly consistent (low Volatility).
  • Strategic Insight: These are your budget enablers. They will not win you a gameweek, but their predictable, low-level returns make them reliable. Look at players like Hudson-Odoi and De Cuyper; they are projected for limited upside but offer a dependable source of appearance points at a low price, allowing you to invest heavily in your Punishers and Stalwarts.

The Trolls (Bottom-Right: Low Power, High Chaos)

  • Profile: The bottom-right quadrant contains players with low Potential Points but a dangerously high Volatility Score.
  • Strategic Insight: This quadrant is filled with statistical traps. For example, defenders like Wan-Bissaka and Van den Berg, or the goalkeeper Dúbravka, have high volatility—meaning they have the potential for a random spike score from a clean sheet or save points—but their low underlying Potential Points make them unreliable long-term investments who are more likely to deliver a blank. Consistent investment in these assets will negatively impact your rank over time.

The Final Word

Building a winning FPL squad is not about collecting the 15 players with the highest potential. It’s about building a balanced portfolio. The Player Quadrant allows you to diagnose your team’s structure at a glance, ensuring you have the explosive upside of the Punishers balanced by the foundational consistency of the Stalwarts, all while avoiding the traps set by the Trolls.


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